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Study Guide: The Cold War 'Missile Gap' Controversy

Cheat Sheet:
The Cold War 'Missile Gap' Controversy Study Guide

Defining the 'Missile Gap'

The term 'missile gap' during the Cold War denoted a perceived strategic imbalance, specifically the belief that the Soviet Union possessed a significant advantage in the number and capability of intercontinental ballistic missiles (ICBMs) relative to the United States.

Answer: True

Explanation: The 'missile gap' represented a widely held perception during the Cold War that the Soviet Union had achieved superiority in ICBM technology and deployment compared to the United States, creating a significant strategic vulnerability.

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The 'missile gap' introduced the fear of a surprise, long-range nuclear attack on the U.S. homeland, a concern not present with earlier fears like the 'bomber gap'.

Answer: True

Explanation: Unlike earlier concerns such as the 'bomber gap,' the advent of ICBMs associated with the 'missile gap' introduced the profound fear of a swift, devastating nuclear strike launched from intercontinental distances, directly threatening the U.S. homeland with unprecedented vulnerability.

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The 'missile gap' issue was primarily a technical debate among military strategists and had little impact on political discourse.

Answer: False

Explanation: The 'missile gap' was far more than a technical debate; it became a highly charged political issue, significantly influencing election campaigns, public opinion, and national security policy throughout the Cold War era.

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The 'bomber gap' referred to concerns about Soviet superiority in submarine-launched ballistic missiles shortly before the 'missile gap' became prominent.

Answer: False

Explanation: The 'bomber gap' concerned perceived Soviet superiority in long-range bombers, a fear that preceded and somewhat set the stage for the later 'missile gap' concerns, rather than relating to submarine-launched ballistic missiles.

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The 'missile gap' concept was unrelated to the broader nuclear arms race between the U.S. and the USSR.

Answer: False

Explanation: The 'missile gap' was intrinsically linked to the broader nuclear arms race. It represented a specific phase and manifestation of the competition for strategic nuclear superiority, driving technological development and defense spending on both sides.

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What was the 'missile gap' primarily perceived as during the Cold War?

Answer: A perceived Soviet superiority in missile technology and numbers compared to the U.S.

Explanation: The 'missile gap' was fundamentally understood as a perceived strategic advantage held by the Soviet Union in terms of missile capabilities, fueling anxieties about the balance of power during the Cold War.

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How did the fear associated with the 'missile gap' differ from the earlier 'bomber gap'?

Answer: The missile gap introduced the fear of a devastating, surprise attack from afar, increasing homeland vulnerability concerns.

Explanation: The 'missile gap' introduced a novel and profound fear: the possibility of a sudden, devastating nuclear attack launched from intercontinental distances, thereby heightening concerns about the vulnerability of the U.S. homeland in a way that earlier fears, like the 'bomber gap,' did not.

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Origins and Early Perceptions (1950s)

Nikita Khrushchev claimed the Soviet Union was producing long-range missiles at an extremely high rate, comparing it to a common food item.

Answer: True

Explanation: Nikita Khrushchev famously boasted about Soviet missile production, using the analogy of producing missiles 'like sausages,' which contributed to the perception of Soviet industrial might and missile superiority.

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The launch of Sputnik 1 by the Soviet Union in October 1957 significantly reduced concerns in the U.S. about Soviet technological capabilities.

Answer: False

Explanation: The launch of Sputnik 1 in October 1957 dramatically increased, rather than reduced, concerns in the U.S. regarding Soviet technological prowess and the potential for a strategic missile advantage.

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The Gaither Committee and figures within the U.S. Air Force were responsible for inflating estimates of Soviet missile numbers in 1957.

Answer: True

Explanation: The Gaither Committee's report and assessments from certain elements within the U.S. Air Force played a critical role in generating and disseminating inflated estimates of Soviet missile capabilities, thereby fueling the 'missile gap' narrative.

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Journalist Joseph Alsop claimed in 1959 that the Soviet Union would have significantly fewer missiles than the U.S. by 1963.

Answer: False

Explanation: In 1959, journalist Joseph Alsop published a widely circulated article citing classified intelligence that predicted the Soviet Union would possess a substantial missile advantage (up to 1,500 missiles) over the U.S. (around 130) by 1963, thus amplifying fears of a 'missile gap'.

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Which event in 1957 significantly fueled the perception of a 'missile gap' in the United States?

Answer: The launch of the Soviet satellite Sputnik 1.

Explanation: The Soviet Union's successful launch of Sputnik 1 in October 1957 served as a powerful catalyst, dramatically increasing U.S. concerns about Soviet technological advancements and contributing significantly to the perception of a 'missile gap'.

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Which group or committee was responsible for creating exaggerated estimates of Soviet missiles in 1957, contributing to the 'missile gap' narrative?

Answer: The Gaither Committee and figures within the USAF.

Explanation: The Gaither Committee, along with certain influential figures within the U.S. Air Force, played a significant role in developing and promoting inflated estimates of Soviet missile capabilities in 1957, thereby contributing substantially to the 'missile gap' narrative.

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How did Nikita Khrushchev contribute to the 'missile gap' perception?

Answer: By boasting about successful ICBM tests and claiming missiles were produced 'like sausages'.

Explanation: Nikita Khrushchev's public pronouncements, including claims of rapid missile production ('like sausages') and boasts about successful ICBM tests, significantly amplified fears and perceptions of Soviet missile superiority, contributing directly to the 'missile gap' narrative.

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How did Joseph Alsop contribute to the public perception of the 'missile gap'?

Answer: By publishing a widely syndicated article using classified intelligence to claim a massive Soviet missile advantage.

Explanation: Journalist Joseph Alsop significantly influenced public perception in 1959 by publishing a widely syndicated article that, citing classified intelligence, projected a substantial Soviet missile advantage, thereby intensifying fears associated with the 'missile gap'.

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Political Dynamics and Intelligence Operations

John F. Kennedy first used the term 'missile gap' in 1965 during his presidential campaign.

Answer: False

Explanation: John F. Kennedy popularized the term 'missile gap' significantly earlier, primarily during his 1958 senatorial campaign and subsequent presidential campaign in 1960, not in 1965.

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President Eisenhower publicly refuted Kennedy's claims about the missile gap during the 1960 campaign to ensure transparency.

Answer: False

Explanation: President Eisenhower refrained from publicly refuting Kennedy's 'missile gap' claims during the 1960 campaign. He was aware of the actual intelligence, which contradicted Kennedy's assertions, but chose not to reveal it to protect the secrecy of the vital U-2 reconnaissance program.

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Senator Stuart Symington argued that the Eisenhower administration was accurately assessing Soviet missile capabilities and resisted calls for increased military spending.

Answer: False

Explanation: Senator Stuart Symington was a prominent advocate for the 'missile gap' theory. He argued that the Eisenhower administration was underestimating Soviet capabilities and used this perceived gap to push for increased defense spending.

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John F. Kennedy used inflated missile estimates, leaked to him by Senator Symington, to criticize the Republican administration's defense policies during his campaign.

Answer: True

Explanation: John F. Kennedy strategically employed inflated missile estimates, reportedly provided by Senator Symington, during his 1960 campaign to portray the Republican administration as weak on national defense and to highlight the perceived 'missile gap'.

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President Eisenhower was pleased with Kennedy's use of the 'missile gap' rhetoric, as it validated his administration's defense spending.

Answer: False

Explanation: President Eisenhower was reportedly frustrated by Kennedy's use of the 'missile gap' rhetoric, knowing it was based on inaccurate intelligence. He chose not to publicly contradict Kennedy to protect the secrecy of U-2 flights.

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Eisenhower arranged for Kennedy and Johnson to receive classified briefings from military and intelligence leaders to clarify the actual missile situation.

Answer: True

Explanation: In July 1960, President Eisenhower facilitated classified briefings for John F. Kennedy and Lyndon B. Johnson, involving top military and intelligence officials, to apprise them of the actual, less alarming, state of Soviet missile capabilities.

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U-2 flights provided intelligence that confirmed the existence of a large Soviet missile advantage, which was quickly made public.

Answer: False

Explanation: U-2 reconnaissance flights provided crucial intelligence that contradicted inflated estimates of Soviet missile capabilities. However, this information was initially suppressed to protect the secrecy of the U-2 program, preventing it from being publicly acknowledged as evidence against the 'missile gap'.

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Kennedy abandoned the 'missile gap' rhetoric immediately after receiving classified briefings from Eisenhower's administration.

Answer: False

Explanation: Despite receiving classified briefings from Eisenhower's administration that clarified the actual missile situation, John F. Kennedy continued to employ the 'missile gap' rhetoric throughout his campaign, suggesting its political utility outweighed the factual discrepancies.

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Soviet protests against U-2 overflights were solely related to violations of airspace and had no connection to the missile gap debate.

Answer: False

Explanation: While Soviet protests against U-2 overflights cited airspace violations, these actions were intrinsically linked to the 'missile gap' debate. The flights provided intelligence that challenged the narrative, and their secrecy was a key reason for the Eisenhower administration's reluctance to reveal the truth.

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Senator Stuart Symington believed the U.S. had a clear missile superiority and used this fact to argue against increased defense spending.

Answer: False

Explanation: Senator Stuart Symington was a vocal proponent of the 'missile gap' theory. He argued that the U.S. was falling behind the Soviets and used this perceived deficiency to advocate strongly for increased defense expenditures.

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Who is credited with popularizing the term 'missile gap' in the U.S. political discourse, and in which year did this occur?

Answer: John F. Kennedy, 1958

Explanation: John F. Kennedy is widely credited with popularizing the term 'missile gap' in political discourse, notably during his 1958 senatorial campaign and subsequent presidential bid, effectively framing the debate around perceived Soviet missile superiority.

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Why did the Eisenhower administration withhold more accurate intelligence about Soviet missile capabilities, which suggested no significant 'missile gap'?

Answer: To protect the secrecy of the U-2 reconnaissance program.

Explanation: The Eisenhower administration withheld more accurate intelligence that contradicted the 'missile gap' narrative primarily to safeguard the operational security of the U-2 reconnaissance flights, which provided this crucial data but operated covertly and illegally over Soviet territory.

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What was the main argument made by Senator Stuart Symington regarding the 'missile gap'?

Answer: He advocated for increased military spending, claiming the U.S. was falling behind the Soviets.

Explanation: Senator Stuart Symington was a leading proponent of the 'missile gap' theory, arguing that the United States was dangerously behind the Soviet Union in missile capabilities and using this assertion to advocate for substantial increases in defense spending.

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How did John F. Kennedy leverage the 'missile gap' issue during his 1960 election campaign?

Answer: He used inflated estimates of the gap to criticize the Republicans as 'weak on defense'.

Explanation: John F. Kennedy effectively utilized the 'missile gap' narrative during his 1960 campaign, employing exaggerated figures to accuse the incumbent Republican administration of neglecting national security and being 'weak on defense'.

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What role did U-2 flights play in the 'missile gap' controversy?

Answer: They provided crucial photo-intelligence contradicting inflated estimates, but this was initially suppressed.

Explanation: U-2 reconnaissance flights provided vital photographic intelligence that directly challenged the inflated estimates of Soviet missile capabilities. However, the need to protect the secrecy of these flights led to the suppression of this contradictory evidence, allowing the 'missile gap' narrative to persist.

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What was the outcome of the briefings provided to Kennedy and Johnson by Eisenhower's administration regarding the missile situation?

Answer: They were informed of the actual situation but Kennedy continued using the 'missile gap' rhetoric for political reasons.

Explanation: Although Kennedy and Johnson received classified briefings detailing the actual, less alarming, missile situation, Kennedy persisted in utilizing the 'missile gap' rhetoric during his campaign, suggesting a strategic decision to leverage the issue for political advantage.

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What was the primary reason cited for the Eisenhower administration withholding accurate intelligence regarding the Soviet missile program?

Answer: To protect the secrecy of the U-2 reconnaissance flights.

Explanation: The Eisenhower administration's decision to withhold accurate intelligence that contradicted the 'missile gap' narrative was primarily driven by the imperative to protect the operational security of the U-2 reconnaissance program, which relied on covert flights over Soviet territory.

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The Reality of Soviet and U.S. Capabilities

The 'missile gap' was definitively proven to be a factual reality based on intelligence gathered in 1957.

Answer: False

Explanation: Subsequent analysis and declassified information indicate that the 'missile gap' was largely a perception based on inflated estimates rather than a proven reality in 1957. The actual Soviet ICBM capabilities were significantly less than what was feared.

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According to later evidence, the Soviet Union possessed thousands of operational ICBMs in the early 1960s, far exceeding U.S. numbers.

Answer: False

Explanation: Later evidence and declassified intelligence revealed that the Soviet Union possessed a far smaller number of operational ICBMs in the early 1960s (estimated around 10) compared to the United States (estimated around 57), directly contradicting the 'missile gap' fears.

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After becoming Secretary of Defense, Robert McNamara immediately confirmed the existence of a significant Soviet missile gap based on initial reviews.

Answer: False

Explanation: Upon assuming the role of Secretary of Defense, Robert McNamara's review of intelligence, including satellite imagery, led him to conclude there was no significant Soviet missile gap; in fact, evidence suggested the U.S. held an advantage.

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Jerome Wiesner, an advisor to President Kennedy, confirmed the 'missile gap' was a real and pressing threat.

Answer: False

Explanation: Jerome Wiesner, a science advisor, explained to President Kennedy that the 'missile gap' was a fiction, based on flawed analysis, which reportedly caused considerable consternation for the President.

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In the early 1960s, the U.S. had fewer operational ICBMs than the Soviet Union, according to the text.

Answer: False

Explanation: Contrary to the 'missile gap' narrative, evidence from the early 1960s indicates the U.S. possessed more operational ICBMs (approximately 57) than the Soviet Union (estimated around 10).

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Soviet R-7 missiles were considered more reliable and easier to deploy than the U.S. Minuteman missile due to their advanced fueling systems.

Answer: False

Explanation: Soviet R-7 missiles utilized liquid fuel, requiring extensive and time-consuming fueling procedures and frequent propellant draining, making them less reliable and harder to deploy compared to the U.S. Minuteman's solid-propellant system, which allowed for rapid launch.

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By 1976, the Soviet Union possessed a significant advantage in the number of nuclear warheads over the United States.

Answer: False

Explanation: By 1976, U.S. Secretary of State Henry Kissinger indicated that the United States held a substantial advantage, possessing approximately a six-to-one lead in the number of nuclear warheads compared to the Soviet Union.

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Intelligence agencies like the CIA accurately reported the lack of a missile gap early on, but their findings were ignored by political leaders.

Answer: False

Explanation: While intelligence agencies like the CIA did possess data suggesting the 'missile gap' was exaggerated, the narrative persisted due to complex factors including the desire to protect intelligence sources (like U-2 flights) and the political utility of the gap concept, rather than a simple dismissal of findings by all political leaders.

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The U.S. Minuteman missile's solid propellant allowed for quicker launch times compared to the Soviet R-7 missile's liquid fuel system.

Answer: True

Explanation: The Minuteman missile's solid-propellant engine offered a significant advantage in launch readiness, enabling deployment and launch within minutes, whereas the Soviet R-7's liquid-fuel system required hours for fueling and complex preparation, making it less responsive.

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According to the provided text, was the 'missile gap' a factual representation of Soviet missile strength?

Answer: No, it was largely a fictional perception based on exaggerated estimates.

Explanation: The text indicates that the 'missile gap' was not a factual representation of Soviet missile strength but rather a perception heavily influenced by exaggerated estimates and political rhetoric, diverging significantly from the actual capabilities.

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What did Robert McNamara discover about the 'missile gap' after becoming Secretary of Defense?

Answer: No evidence of a large-scale Soviet ICBM effort, contradicting the gap narrative.

Explanation: Upon assuming office as Secretary of Defense, Robert McNamara's examination of intelligence, including satellite imagery, revealed no substantial Soviet ICBM construction program, leading him to conclude that the 'missile gap' narrative was unfounded and that the U.S. likely held an advantage.

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According to the text, what was the approximate number of operational Soviet ICBMs versus U.S. ICBMs in the early 1960s?

Answer: Soviets: 10; U.S.: 57

Explanation: Contrary to the prevailing fears, declassified intelligence and later analyses indicated that in the early 1960s, the Soviet Union possessed approximately 10 operational ICBMs, while the United States had around 57.

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What technological advantage did the U.S. Minuteman missile possess over Soviet R-7 missiles?

Answer: Solid propellant allowing for rapid launch compared to Soviet liquid-fuel systems.

Explanation: The U.S. Minuteman missile utilized solid propellant, enabling rapid launch sequences within minutes. This contrasted sharply with the Soviet R-7's liquid-fuel system, which required extensive fueling time and posed greater logistical challenges.

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What was the U.S. advantage in nuclear warheads over the USSR by 1976, according to Henry Kissinger?

Answer: The U.S. held a six-to-one advantage.

Explanation: By 1976, U.S. Secretary of State Henry Kissinger reported that the United States possessed a significant strategic advantage, holding approximately six times the number of nuclear warheads compared to the Soviet Union.

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Which statement accurately reflects the comparison between U.S. and Soviet ICBMs in the early 1960s, according to the source?

Answer: The U.S. had 57 operational ICBMs, significantly outnumbering the estimated 10 Soviet ICBMs.

Explanation: Contrary to the 'missile gap' narrative, the source indicates that in the early 1960s, the U.S. possessed approximately 57 operational ICBMs, while the Soviet Union had an estimated 10, demonstrating a clear U.S. advantage.

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What was Jerome Wiesner's assessment of the 'missile gap'?

Answer: He stated it was a fiction based on flawed analysis.

Explanation: Jerome Wiesner, a science advisor, assessed the 'missile gap' as a fabrication stemming from flawed analytical methods, informing President Kennedy that the perceived threat was not grounded in reality.

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How did the U.S. Minuteman missile differ technologically from Soviet R-7 missiles?

Answer: Minuteman could be launched in minutes due to solid propellant; R-7 required hours to fuel.

Explanation: The U.S. Minuteman missile, employing solid propellant, offered rapid launch capabilities within minutes. In contrast, the Soviet R-7 missile, utilizing liquid fuel, necessitated lengthy fueling procedures and posed greater logistical challenges, impacting its deployment readiness.

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Consequences and Strategic Implications

The promotion of the 'missile gap' narrative may have contributed to Soviet leaders perceiving Kennedy as a dangerous extremist, potentially influencing events like the Cuban Missile Crisis.

Answer: True

Explanation: Some analyses suggest that the persistent rhetoric surrounding the 'missile gap,' coupled with perceived U.S. assertiveness, may have led Soviet leadership to view Kennedy as an unpredictable extremist, potentially exacerbating tensions that contributed to crises like the Cuban Missile Crisis.

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President Eisenhower coined the term 'military-industrial complex' partly in response to pressure from Congress advocating for increased military spending based on the 'missile gap.'

Answer: True

Explanation: President Eisenhower's farewell address warning about the 'military-industrial complex' was partly motivated by his observation of how lobbying efforts, fueled by perceived threats like the 'missile gap,' pressured Congress to increase defense budgets.

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The 'missile gap' narrative contributed to a perception of Soviet technological prowess, serving as a component of Cold War psychological warfare.

Answer: True

Explanation: The emphasis on the 'missile gap,' amplified by both Soviet claims and U.S. political discourse, significantly enhanced the perception of Soviet technological superiority. This perception was strategically utilized as a form of psychological warfare within the broader Cold War context.

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Besides influencing defense spending, what potential negative consequence of promoting the 'missile gap' is mentioned in the text?

Answer: It may have caused Soviet leaders to view Kennedy as an extremist, potentially contributing to the Cuban Missile Crisis.

Explanation: Beyond driving defense expenditures, the persistent 'missile gap' rhetoric might have contributed to Soviet perceptions of Kennedy as an extremist, potentially escalating tensions and influencing critical geopolitical events such as the Cuban Missile Crisis.

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President Eisenhower's concern about the 'military-industrial complex' was related to the 'missile gap' debate because:

Answer: He worried the complex was pushing for increased military spending based on exaggerated threats like the missile gap.

Explanation: President Eisenhower's concern regarding the 'military-industrial complex' stemmed from his observation that powerful defense industry interests, often amplified by perceived threats like the 'missile gap,' exerted undue influence on government policy, advocating for sustained high levels of military spending.

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The text suggests that the 'missile gap' promotion might have had unintended consequences, including:

Answer: The Soviets might have viewed Kennedy as an extremist, possibly contributing to the Cuban Missile Crisis.

Explanation: Beyond influencing defense policy, the promotion of the 'missile gap' narrative may have inadvertently contributed to Soviet perceptions of Kennedy as an extremist, potentially exacerbating tensions and influencing critical geopolitical events such as the Cuban Missile Crisis.

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What does the source suggest was a potential consequence of the 'missile gap' rhetoric influencing Soviet perceptions?

Answer: The Soviets might have viewed Kennedy as an extremist, possibly contributing to the Cuban Missile Crisis.

Explanation: The persistent rhetoric surrounding the 'missile gap' may have influenced Soviet perceptions, potentially leading them to view Kennedy as an extremist, possibly contributing to heightened tensions and influencing critical geopolitical events such as the Cuban Missile Crisis.

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Later Reassessments and Cultural Commentary

A second 'missile gap' claim emerged in the 1970s, initiated by Albert Wohlstetter, who accused the CIA of overestimating Soviet missile deployments.

Answer: False

Explanation: In the 1970s, Albert Wohlstetter argued for a renewed 'missile gap' concern, but his accusation was that the CIA had *underestimated*, not overestimated, Soviet missile deployments and capabilities.

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National Intelligence Estimates (NIEs) in the 1970s consistently and accurately predicted all aspects of Soviet missile force development, including infrastructure and accuracy.

Answer: False

Explanation: While NIEs in the 1970s demonstrated accuracy in predicting certain aspects like initial MIRVed ICBMs and SLBMs, they were less accurate regarding Soviet infrastructure upgrades and underestimated improvements in missile accuracy and warhead proliferation.

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The film *Dr. Strangelove* depicted a scenario where the Soviets built a doomsday device to avoid a 'Doomsday Gap,' satirizing arms race fears.

Answer: True

Explanation: Stanley Kubrick's film *Dr. Strangelove* satirized Cold War anxieties by portraying the Soviets developing a 'doomsday device' to counter perceived U.S. advancements, and later U.S. generals worrying about a 'mine shaft gap,' thereby mocking the logic of the arms race.

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The film *Dr. Strangelove* suggests that the U.S. military was primarily concerned about a 'mine shaft gap' rather than a missile gap.

Answer: True

Explanation: In *Dr. Strangelove*, the satirical focus shifts from the initial 'missile gap' fears to a later, absurd concern about a 'mine shaft gap' – the perceived need for underground shelters to protect against Soviet retaliation. This highlights the film's critique of escalating and often irrational defense anxieties.

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In the 1970s, Albert Wohlstetter claimed a new 'missile gap' existed, accusing the CIA of what specific error?

Answer: Underestimating Soviet missile deployments.

Explanation: Albert Wohlstetter's argument in the 1970s posited a renewed 'missile gap' based on his contention that the CIA had underestimated the scale and pace of Soviet missile deployments and capabilities.

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The film *Dr. Strangelove* satirized the 'missile gap' fears by depicting:

Answer: The Soviets building a doomsday device and the Americans later worrying about a 'mine shaft gap'.

Explanation: Stanley Kubrick's satirical film *Dr. Strangelove* humorously critiqued Cold War anxieties by showing the Soviets constructing a 'doomsday device' to counter perceived U.S. advancements and the Americans subsequently fixating on a 'mine shaft gap,' thereby lampooning the escalating and often irrational nature of arms race fears.

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The 'missile gap' debate in the 1970s, involving Albert Wohlstetter, centered on accusations that the CIA had:

Answer: Underestimated Soviet missile deployments and capabilities.

Explanation: Albert Wohlstetter's critique in the 1970s focused on the assertion that the CIA had underestimated the extent of Soviet missile deployments and overall capabilities, thereby contributing to a renewed debate about strategic balance.

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