Which party won the 2015 UK general election, and what was the significance of their victory?

The Conservative Party, led by Prime Minister David Cameron, won an unexpected majority victory with ten seats. This marked the first time since 1900 that a governing party increased its seat total after a full term, and it was the last general election held before the UK voted to leave the European Union in June 2016.

What was the prevailing prediction for the 2015 election outcome, and how did it contrast with the actual results?

Opinion polls and political commentators widely predicted a hung parliament, similar to the outcome of the 2010 election. However, the Conservatives secured a majority victory, exceeding the predictions of most pollsters and analysts.

How did the Labour Party perform in the 2015 general election in terms of seats and vote share?

The Labour Party, led by Ed Miliband, saw a slight increase in its vote share to 30.4%. However, they returned only 232 MPs, which was 26 fewer than in 2010 and their lowest seat total since the 1987 general election.

What significant shift occurred in Scotland during the 2015 election, particularly concerning the Scottish National Party (SNP)?

The Scottish National Party (SNP) experienced a substantial surge in support, winning 56 out of the 59 Scottish seats. This resulted in the SNP becoming the third-largest party in the House of Commons and the dominant political force in Scotland, displacing Labour from its long-held position.

What was the outcome for the Liberal Democrats in the 2015 election, and how did it compare to their previous performance?

The Liberal Democrats, junior partners in the coalition government, suffered heavy losses, losing 49 of their 57 seats. Returning only eight MPs, it was their worst result since the 1970 general election.

What was the UK Independence Party's (UKIP) vote share in the 2015 election, and how many seats did they win?

The UK Independence Party (UKIP) received 12.6% of the vote, making them the third-placed party in terms of popular vote. Despite this significant vote share, they won only one seat in the House of Commons.

Which legislation set the date for the 2015 general election, and what was its effect on the prime minister's power to call an early election?

The Fixed-term Parliaments Act 2011 set the date for the 2015 general election and removed the prime minister's power to advise the monarch to call an early election. The Act stipulated that an election must occur on a fixed date unless specific conditions for an early dissolution were met.

What were the key dates in the timetable leading up to and following the 2015 general election?

Parliament was dissolved on Monday, 30 March 2015, marking the start of the campaign. The deadline for filing nomination papers and requesting postal votes was Saturday, 2 May. The election itself took place on Thursday, 7 May, with results declared on Friday, 8 May. The new Parliament convened on Monday, 18 May, and the State Opening of Parliament occurred on Wednesday, 27 May.

How did the number of MPs not standing for re-election in 2015 compare to the previous general election?

The 2015 election saw 89 MPs standing down, which was a decrease compared to the record 149 MPs who did not seek re-election in 2010. Among those standing down in 2015 were former Prime Minister Gordon Brown and former Conservative leader William Hague.

What was the total number of candidates contesting the 2015 general election, and how did it compare to 2010?

A total of 3,971 candidates stood for election in 2015, making it the second-highest number in history. This was a slight decrease from the record 4,150 candidates who contested the 2010 general election.

What was the significance of the 2015 election regarding the representation of women in Parliament?

The 2015 election saw a record number of female candidates standing, with 1,020 (26.1%) of all candidates being women. This resulted in an increase in the number of female MPs to 191, representing 29% of the total, up from 23% in 2010.

What was the Conservative Party's campaign strategy in the months leading up to the election?

In the six months prior to the election, the Conservatives decided to target seats previously held by Liberal Democrats, as well as defending their own seats and targeting marginal constituencies held by Labour. This strategy ultimately contributed to their majority victory.

What key issues were prominent during the 2015 general election campaign?

Major issues included constitutional affairs, such as the Conservative commitment to an EU referendum and the ongoing debate about devolution following the Scottish independence referendum. Government finance, particularly the national deficit and plans for austerity, was also a central theme of the campaign.

What was the Conservative Party's manifesto commitment regarding the European Union?

The Conservative manifesto pledged to hold a 'straight in-out referendum on our membership of the European Union by the end of 2017'.

How did the Conservative Party's campaign utilize the outcome of the Scottish independence referendum?

Throughout the campaign, the Conservatives emphasized fears of a potential coalition government between Labour and the Scottish National Party (SNP), leveraging the recent Scottish independence referendum to portray this as a 'coalition of chaos'.

What was the role of the 'EdStone' in the Labour Party's campaign?

The 'EdStone,' a large monolith displaying key Labour manifesto pledges, was a notable feature of Ed Miliband's campaign. It was widely covered by the media and was described by some as a 'Kinnock moment,' referencing a similar event from a past Labour campaign.

What was the outcome of the 2011 referendum on changing the UK's voting system?

In May 2011, a referendum was held on whether to change the voting system from 'first-past-the-post' to 'alternative vote.' The referendum resulted in the retention of the existing first-past-the-post system.

How did the media coverage of the 2015 election compare between traditional and new media platforms?

Despite speculation that it would be the 'social media election,' traditional media, particularly broadcast television, remained more influential than digital platforms. TV news coverage, especially the leaders' debates, was found to be the most influential source for voters.

Which newspapers endorsed which major parties in the 2015 general election?

The Daily Mail, Daily Telegraph, Financial Times, The Sun, and The Times all endorsed the Conservative Party. The Daily Mirror and The Guardian endorsed the Labour Party. The Daily Express primarily endorsed UKIP, while The Independent endorsed the Liberal Democrats. Sunday newspapers also largely followed similar patterns.

What were the main criticisms leveled against opinion polling following the 2015 election?

Opinion polls were criticized for their inaccuracy in predicting the Conservative majority, with theories suggesting a late swing to the Conservatives, the 'shy Tory factor,' or issues with polling methodologies like sample weighting and 'lazy Labour' voters.

What was the result of the exit poll conducted for the 2015 general election?

The exit poll, conducted by Ipsos MORI and GfK, predicted the Conservatives would win 316 seats, falling short of an overall majority by 10 seats. This prediction proved to be significantly different from the final results.

How did the actual election results compare to the exit poll's predictions?

The actual results were more favorable to the Conservatives than the exit poll predicted. The Conservatives secured 330 seats, achieving an absolute majority, while the exit poll had suggested they would be 10 seats short.

What was the Gallagher Index score for the 2015 election, and what does it measure?

The Gallagher Index for the 2015 election was 15.04. This index measures the disproportionality of a country's electoral system, indicating how much the seat distribution deviates from the vote share. The score suggests a significant level of disproportionality, particularly between the UKIP and Conservative parties.

Which party won the popular vote in England, Scotland, Wales, and Northern Ireland respectively in the 2015 election?

The Conservative Party won the popular vote in England. The Scottish National Party (SNP) won the popular vote in Scotland. The Labour Party won the popular vote in Wales. In Northern Ireland, the Democratic Unionist Party (DUP) remained the largest party.

What record did Mhairi Black set in the 2015 general election?

Mhairi Black, representing the Scottish National Party (SNP), became the youngest elected MP in the 2015 general election. She was elected at the age of 20 years and 237 days, unseating Labour's Shadow Foreign Secretary Douglas Alexander.

What was the largest swing recorded in the 2015 general election, and where did it occur?

The largest swing recorded was 39.3% from Labour to the SNP in the Glasgow North East constituency. This was a record swing in that particular election.

Which MP won their seat with the lowest winning vote share in the 2015 general election?

Alasdair McDonnell of the Social Democratic and Labour Party (SDLP) won the seat of Belfast South with the lowest winning vote share, securing 24.5% of the vote.

What were the immediate aftermaths for the leaders of Labour and the Liberal Democrats following the election?

Following their parties' disappointing results, both Ed Miliband (Labour) and Nick Clegg (Liberal Democrats) resigned their leadership positions on 8 May 2015, despite having been re-elected as MPs.

How did financial markets react to the Conservative Party's victory in the 2015 general election?

Financial markets reacted positively to the Conservative victory. The pound sterling rose against the Euro and US dollar, and the FTSE 100 stock market index saw a significant increase, with bank and energy shares performing particularly well due to the lifting of potential Labour policies.

What was the impact of the election results on calls for electoral reform?

The significant disparity between vote share and seats won by smaller parties, such as UKIP, intensified calls for electoral reform. Parties like UKIP and the Green Party argued that the first-past-the-post system was 'bankrupt' and that proportional representation was needed for a more legitimate Parliament.

What did *The Daily Telegraph*'s investigation reveal about changes to Wikipedia pages made from within Parliament?

An investigation by *The Daily Telegraph* suggested that MPs or their parties might have been deliberately altering Wikipedia pages from Parliament's IP addresses. This raised suspicions of attempts to hide embarrassing information or make candidates appear more electable to the public.

What fines were issued by the Electoral Commission to the major parties for breaches of spending regulations related to the 2015 election?

The Electoral Commission fined Labour £20,000, the Liberal Democrats £20,000, and the Conservative Party £70,000 for breaches of spending regulations. The higher fine for the Conservatives reflected the extent of the wrongdoing and their 'unreasonable uncooperative conduct'.

What was the outcome of the election petition filed concerning Alistair Carmichael's seat in Orkney and Shetland?

An election petition was lodged against Alistair Carmichael concerning the 'Frenchgate' controversy, related to the leaking of a memo about comments allegedly made by the French ambassador. Although Carmichael admitted to authorizing the leak of inaccurate information and telling a 'blatant lie' in a TV interview, the Election Court ruled that it was not proven beyond reasonable doubt that he had committed an 'illegal practice,' allowing him to retain his seat.

What did the European Parliament find regarding UKIP's use of EU funding during the 2015 election campaign?

The European Parliament determined that UKIP had unlawfully spent over €173,000 of EU funding on their 2015 election campaign through affiliated organizations. The Parliament required the repayment of these funds and denied the organizations other funding.

How did the number of female MPs change following the 2015 general election?

The 2015 election led to an increase in the number of female MPs, rising to 191 (29% of the total) from 147 (23%) in the previous Parliament. Labour saw the largest increase in female MPs, followed by the Conservatives and the SNP.

What was the overall result predicted by the 'Election Forecast' model one month before the vote?

One month before the vote, the Election Forecast model predicted a hung parliament, with the Conservatives being 42 seats short of an overall majority. This contrasted with the actual result where they achieved a majority.

What was the significance of the Conservative Party's popular vote share increase after a full term, as noted in the aftermath?

David Cameron became the first Prime Minister since Lord Salisbury in 1900 to increase his party's popular vote share after a full term. He was also noted as being one of the few Prime Ministers, alongside Margaret Thatcher in 1983, to be re-elected with a greater number of seats for his party after serving a full term.

What was the primary reason cited by the British Polling Council's inquiry for the inaccuracies in the 2015 election opinion polls?

The inquiry's preliminary findings in January 2016 concluded that 'the ways in which polling samples are constructed was the primary cause of the polling miss,' indicating issues with how samples were selected and weighted.

What was the outcome for the Democratic Unionist Party (DUP) in Northern Ireland in the 2015 election?

The Democratic Unionist Party (DUP) remained the largest party in Northern Ireland, winning eight seats in the House of Commons. They had an electoral pact with the Ulster Unionist Party, agreeing to stand aside in certain constituencies.

How did the number of candidates for the British National Party (BNP) change between the 2010 and 2015 general elections?

The British National Party (BNP) significantly reduced its candidate numbers, standing only eight candidates in 2015 compared to 338 in 2010, reflecting a collapse in their support.

What was the combined predicted vote share for the two largest parties (Conservative and Labour) according to pre-election polls?

Pre-election polls predicted that the Conservative and Labour parties would receive a combined total of anywhere between 65% and 75% of the votes cast.

What was the main message of David Cameron's tweet on May 4, 2015, regarding the election choice?

David Cameron tweeted that Britain faced a 'simple and inescapable choice' between 'stability and strong Government with me, or chaos with Ed Miliband,' framing the election as a binary decision between his leadership and that of the Labour leader.

What was the impact of the 'Carlisle principle' mentioned in David Cameron's campaign?

The 'Carlisle principle' was coined by David Cameron to address concerns about the economic effects on parts of the UK, specifically England, due to potential preferential tax rates in Scotland following devolution. It referenced the town of Carlisle's proximity to the Scottish border.

Which party leader resigned after failing to win their constituency in the 2015 election?

Nigel Farage, leader of the UK Independence Party (UKIP), resigned after narrowly failing to win the South Thanet constituency, although his resignation was initially rejected by his party's executive.

What was the overall turnout percentage for the 2015 United Kingdom general election?

The turnout for the 2015 general election was 66.4%, which represented an increase of 1.3 percentage points compared to the previous election in 2010.

What was the primary focus of newspaper coverage regarding the economy during the election campaign?

Newspapers predominantly focused on Conservative-favored economic topics such as spending cuts, economic growth, and deficit reduction, giving less attention to Labour's economic policies like zero-hour contracts or a 'mansion tax'.

What was the result for the Ulster Unionist Party (UUP) in Northern Ireland in the 2015 election?

The Ulster Unionist Party (UUP) returned to the House of Commons with two seats after a five-year absence, gaining one seat from the DUP and another from Sinn Féin. They had an electoral pact with the DUP, not contesting certain seats.

What was the combined seat total of the Conservative and Labour parties in the 2015 election?

The Conservative Party won 330 seats, and the Labour Party won 232 seats, making their combined total 562 out of the 650 seats in the House of Commons.

What was the percentage of the vote won by the Green Party of England and Wales in the 2015 election?

The Green Party of England and Wales achieved its highest vote share to that point, receiving 3.8% of the national vote, and retained its single seat in Brighton Pavilion.

What was the stated reason for the Telegraph Media Group being fined £30,000 by the Information Commissioner's Office?

The Telegraph Media Group was fined for sending 'hundreds of thousands of emails on the day of the general election urging readers to vote Conservative' without explicit consent from subscribers, which was deemed a breach of direct marketing regulations.

2015 United Kingdom General Election Wiki: The 2015 UK Election: A Shifting Political Landscape

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Election Overview

Key Details

The 2015 United Kingdom general election was held on Thursday, 7 May 2015, to elect 650 Members of Parliament (MPs) to the House of Commons. It marked the first election under the Fixed-term Parliaments Act 2011, setting the polling day for 7 May 2015.

Electoral Context

The election followed a period of coalition government between the Conservative Party and the Liberal Democrats. Opinion polls and commentators widely predicted a hung parliament, similar to the 2010 outcome, leading to intense speculation about potential coalition arrangements.

Voter Turnout

A total of 46,354,197 citizens were registered to vote. The turnout for the election was 30,697,525, representing 66.4% of the electorate, an increase of 1.3 percentage points from the previous election.

Major Political Parties

Led by Prime Minister David Cameron, the Conservative Party contested 647 seats. They aimed to secure an overall majority, campaigning on a platform of economic stability and fiscal responsibility, often highlighting the risks of a Labour-SNP coalition.

Leader: David Cameron
Seats Contested: 647
Outcome: 330 seats (Majority)
Vote Share: 36.9%
Seat Change: +24

Led by Ed Miliband, the Labour Party contested 631 seats. Their campaign focused on issues like the economy and public services, but they struggled to overcome predictions of a hung parliament and faced significant challenges in Scotland.

Leader: Ed Miliband
Seats Contested: 631
Outcome: 232 seats
Vote Share: 30.4%
Seat Change: -26

The Scottish National Party (SNP), led by Nicola Sturgeon, experienced a significant surge in support following the 2014 independence referendum. They contested all 59 Scottish constituencies, becoming the third-largest party in the House of Commons.

Leader: Nicola Sturgeon
Seats Contested: 59 (in Scotland)
Outcome: 56 seats
Vote Share: 4.7% (UK-wide)
Seat Change: +50

The Liberal Democrats, led by Deputy Prime Minister Nick Clegg, faced substantial losses after their participation in the coalition government. They contested 631 seats but saw their representation drastically reduced.

Leader: Nick Clegg
Seats Contested: 631
Outcome: 8 seats
Vote Share: 7.9%
Seat Change: -49

The UK Independence Party (UKIP), led by Nigel Farage, secured a significant portion of the popular vote, displacing the Liberal Democrats as the third-placed party. However, they won only one seat, failing to capitalize on their vote share.

Leader: Nigel Farage
Seats Contested: 624
Outcome: 1 seat
Vote Share: 12.6%
Seat Change: +1

The Green Party of England and Wales, led by Natalie Bennett, achieved its highest vote share to date, though it secured only one seat.

Leader: Natalie Bennett
Seats Contested: 573
Outcome: 1 seat
Vote Share: 3.8%
Seat Change: 0

Campaign Dynamics

Key Issues

The campaign was dominated by discussions on the economy, government finance, and the potential for a hung parliament. The Conservatives emphasized fiscal responsibility and warned against a Labour-SNP coalition, while Labour focused on public services and economic fairness. Constitutional matters, including the UK's relationship with the EU and devolution, also played significant roles.

Campaign Strategies

The Conservatives targeted Liberal Democrat seats and Labour marginals, employing a strategy that proved effective in securing their majority. Labour's campaign featured prominent elements like Ed Miliband's "EdStone" and Harriet Harman's "Woman to Woman" tour. The SNP's surge post-referendum significantly impacted the Scottish political landscape.

Media Influence

Traditional media, particularly television, remained highly influential, with debates and news coverage shaping public opinion. Newspapers exhibited strong partisanship, with most favouring the Conservatives and adopting a critical stance towards Labour and the SNP. The "anti-SNP" narrative became a dominant theme in much of the English press.

Opinion Polling & Projections

Pre-Election Trends

Throughout much of the 2010-2015 Parliament, Labour generally held a lead in opinion polls. However, the gap narrowed significantly in the months leading up to the election, with polls indicating a tight race and a high probability of a hung parliament. Support for smaller parties like the SNP, Greens, and UKIP also saw notable shifts.

Projection Discrepancies

Despite widespread predictions of a hung parliament, most polling models underestimated the Conservative Party's final vote share and seat count. The first-past-the-post system meant that even small shifts in vote share could translate into significant seat changes, contributing to the surprise outcome.

Pre-election projections varied, but most anticipated a hung parliament. For example:

Source	Conservatives	Labour	SNP	Lib Dems
ElectionForecast	284	274	41	49
Electoral Calculus	278	284	48	48
The Guardian	281	271	50	45

Note: These figures represent projections shortly before the election and did not fully anticipate the final results.

Election Results

Final Outcome

The Conservative Party secured an unexpected majority of ten seats, winning 330 seats overall. This outcome defied most pre-election predictions and allowed David Cameron to form a majority government without a coalition partner.

Party Performance

Labour experienced their worst result since 1987, returning 232 MPs. The Liberal Democrats suffered heavy losses, losing 49 of their 57 seats. The SNP's significant surge saw them win 56 out of 59 Scottish seats, becoming the third-largest party.

Seat Distribution

The final seat count was: Conservatives 330, Labour 232, SNP 56, Liberal Democrats 8, Democratic Unionist Party 8, Sinn Féin 4, Plaid Cymru 3, SDLP 3, Green 1, Alliance 1, UKIP 1. This represented a significant shift in the parliamentary composition.

Television Debates

Format and Participants

The election featured several televised debates. A seven-way debate on ITV included leaders from Labour, Conservatives, Liberal Democrats, UKIP, Greens, SNP, and Plaid Cymru. Other debates involved smaller groups of parties, with leaders like David Cameron and Nick Clegg participating in a BBC Question Time special.

Impact and Controversy

The debates focused heavily on the potential for a hung parliament and coalition scenarios. Concerns were raised about the media's focus on "horse race journalism" over policy issues. The absence of some leaders from certain debates also drew criticism.

Media Endorsements

Newspaper Support

Major national newspapers largely endorsed the Conservative Party, with many also encouraging tactical voting for the Liberal Democrats or against Labour. The Daily Mail, Daily Telegraph, Financial Times, The Sun, and The Times all backed the Conservatives, while The Guardian and Daily Mirror endorsed Labour.

Newspaper	Primary Endorsement	Secondary Endorsement(s)
Daily Express	UK Independence Party	Conservative Party
Daily Mail	Conservative Party	UK Independence Party, Liberal Democrats
Daily Mirror	Labour Party	Liberal Democrats
Daily Telegraph	Conservative Party	None
Financial Times	Conservative Party	Liberal Democrats
The Guardian	Labour Party	Green Party, Liberal Democrats
The Independent	Liberal Democrats	Conservative Party
The Sun	Conservative Party	Liberal Democrats
The Times	Conservative Party	Liberal Democrats
Sunday Express	UK Independence Party	-
Sunday Mirror	Labour Party	-
Sunday Telegraph	Conservative Party	-
Sunday Times	Conservative Party	-

Media Coverage Analysis

Broadcast vs. Print

While social media played a role, television coverage, particularly the leaders' debates, was found to be the most influential factor for the public. Newspapers demonstrated strong partisanship, with a significant bias towards the Conservatives and critical coverage of Labour and other opposition parties.

Partisan Bias

Research indicated that print media coverage was overwhelmingly pro-Conservative and anti-Labour, with less attention given to policy areas that might have been challenging for the Conservatives. The SNP also faced considerable negative coverage in English newspapers.

Election Timetable

Key Dates

The election campaign officially began with the dissolution of Parliament on 30 March 2015. Key deadlines included the filing of nomination papers and registration for postal votes by 2 May. Election day was 7 May 2015, with the new Parliament convening on 18 May.

30 March: Dissolution of Parliament and start of campaigning.
2 May: Deadline for nomination papers and postal vote registration.
7 May: Election Day.
8 May: Conservative Party declared winner with a majority.
18 May: New Parliament convenes to elect the Speaker.
27 May: State Opening of Parliament.

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References

66 parties are grouped together as 'other parties'. None of those parties contested more than 2 constituencies, or received more than 300 votes

This column shows the change in vote share percentage from the 2010 general election to the 2015 general election. It does not account for by-elections.

The UUP did not run itself in 2010; instead, it ran candidates under the Ulster Conservatives and Unionists banner.

After nominations had closed and ballot papers were printed, two UKIP candidates were suspended from the party for offensive comments.

In the 20th century so few Parliaments lasted the full five-year term that some commentators regarded four years as being a 'full term', thus calling the 1979â83 Parliament a 'full term'

Joyce was a member of the Labour Party until his resignation from the party in 2012 in the aftermath of an assault.

UK 2015 general election results in full The Guardian (retrieved 5 May 2024)

D. Wring and S. Ward, 'Exit Velocity: The Media Election' (2015) in Britain Votes

A full list of references for this article are available at the 2015 United Kingdom general election Wikipedia page

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This page was generated by an Artificial Intelligence and is intended for informational and educational purposes only. The content is based on a snapshot of publicly available data from Wikipedia and may not be entirely accurate, complete, or up-to-date.

This is not political advice. The information provided on this website is not a substitute for professional political analysis or consultation. Always refer to official sources and consult with qualified professionals for specific insights into political events and their implications.

The creators of this page are not responsible for any errors or omissions, or for any actions taken based on the information provided herein.

Westminster's Verdict

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Election Overview 🇬🇧

🗓️ Key Details

🏛️ Electoral Context

📊 Voter Turnout

Major Political Parties 👥

Conservative

Labour

SNP

Lib Dems

UKIP

Greens

Campaign Dynamics 📢

⚖️ Key Issues

🗣️ Campaign Strategies

📰 Media Influence

Opinion Polling & Projections 📈

📊 Pre-Election Trends

🎯 Projection Discrepancies

Election Results 🏆

🗳️ Final Outcome

📉 Party Performance

📊 Seat Distribution

Television Debates 📺

🎤 Format and Participants

🤔 Impact and Controversy

Media Endorsements ✍️

📰 Newspaper Support

Media Coverage Analysis 💻

📺 Broadcast vs. Print

📰 Partisan Bias

Election Timetable 🗓️

📅 Key Dates

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Dive in with Flashcard Learning!

Election Overview

Key Details

Electoral Context

Voter Turnout

Major Political Parties

Campaign Dynamics

Key Issues

Campaign Strategies

Media Influence

Opinion Polling & Projections

Pre-Election Trends

Projection Discrepancies

Election Results

Final Outcome

Party Performance

Seat Distribution

Television Debates

Format and Participants

Impact and Controversy

Media Endorsements

Newspaper Support

Media Coverage Analysis

Broadcast vs. Print

Partisan Bias

Election Timetable

Key Dates

Teacher's Corner

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