Glengarry—Prescott—Russell
An in-depth analysis of representation and electoral history in this key Ontario provincial riding.
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District Overview
Geographic Context
Glengarry—Prescott—Russell is a provincial electoral district situated in the eastern region of Ontario, Canada. Established in 1996, it was formed from portions of the former Prescott and Russell and Stormont—Dundas—Glengarry electoral districts. The riding encompasses a diverse geographical area, including parts of the United Counties of Prescott and Russell, the United Counties of Stormont, Dundas and Glengarry, and the eastern section of the City of Ottawa.
Legislative Affiliation
This district elects a single Member of Provincial Parliament (MPP) to the Legislative Assembly of Ontario. The current MPP is Stéphane Sarrazin, representing the Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario. The district was first contested in the 1999 Ontario general election and is scheduled for its next contest in 2025.
Demographics and Characteristics
As of the 2021 Census, the district had a population of 116,463, with 98,903 eligible electors projected for the 2025 election. Covering an area of 2,979 km², it has a population density of approximately 39.1 persons per square kilometer. Notably, Glengarry—Prescott—Russell is recognized as a francophone-majority riding, reflecting the significant French-speaking population within its boundaries.
Electoral History: Representatives
The following individuals have served as the Member of Provincial Parliament for Glengarry—Prescott—Russell since its inception:
Members of Provincial Parliament
A comprehensive list of MPPs and their terms:
Electoral Performance
An analysis of recent election results provides insight into the district's political trends and voter preferences.
2022 Ontario General Election
The 2022 election saw Stéphane Sarrazin of the Progressive Conservative Party secure victory. The results indicated a competitive race, with the Liberal candidate Amanda Simard receiving significant support.
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | Expenditures | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Progressive Conservative | Stéphane Sarrazin | 18,661 | 42.05 | +1.07 | $69,233 | |
| Liberal | Amanda Simard | 17,529 | 39.50 | +7.85 | $51,459 | |
| New Democratic | Alicia Eglin | 3,789 | 8.54 | −13.25 | $804 | |
| New Blue | Victor Brassard | 1,924 | 4.34 | N/A | $33,413 | |
| Green | Thaila Riden | 1,670 | 3.76 | +0.83 | $1,098 | |
| Ontario Party | Stéphane Aubry | 809 | 1.82 | +0.27 | $0 | |
| Total valid votes | 44,382 | 99.24 | +0.56 | $137,417 | ||
| Turnout | 44,724 | 45.56 | −9.86 | |||
Note: Progressive Conservative gain from Liberal. Turnout decreased significantly compared to the previous election.
2018 Ontario General Election
The 2018 election marked a significant shift, with Amanda Simard of the Progressive Conservatives winning the seat. This represented a substantial change from the previous Liberal hold.
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Progressive Conservative | Amanda Simard | 19,952 | 40.98 | +8.41 | |
| Liberal | Pierre Leroux | 15,409 | 31.65 | −18.03 | |
| New Democratic | Bonnie Jean-Louis | 10,610 | 21.79 | +9.29 | |
| Green | Daniel Bruce Reid | 1,427 | 2.93 | −0.28 | |
| Ontario Party | Joël Charbonneau | 755 | 1.55 | N/A | |
| Libertarian | Darcy Neal Donnelly | 537 | 1.10 | N/A | |
| Total valid votes | 48,690 | 98.68 | |||
| Turnout | 49,341 | 55.42 | |||
Note: This election saw a Progressive Conservative notional gain, with a significant swing in voter preference.
2014 Ontario General Election
In 2014, the Liberal Party, represented by Grant Crack, maintained its hold on the riding, although the Progressive Conservatives saw a notable increase in their vote share.
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liberal | Grant Crack | 23,565 | 49.74 | +6.56 | |
| Progressive Conservative | Roxane Villeneuve Robertson | 14,724 | 32.57 | −7.19 | |
| New Democratic | Isabelle Sabourin | 5,902 | 12.46 | −1.88 | |
| Green | Raymond St. Martin | 1,528 | 3.23 | +1.31 | |
| Others | 918 | 2.03 | |||
| Total valid votes | 47,375 | 100.00 | |||
Note: The Liberal Party held the seat, but the Progressive Conservatives showed increased support.
Future Projections (2025)
The upcoming 2025 Ontario general election is anticipated to feature continued engagement from the major parties. Stéphane Sarrazin is listed as the incumbent Progressive Conservative candidate.
| Party | Candidate | % Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Progressive Conservative | Stéphane Sarrazin | +9.65 | |
| Liberal | Trevor Stewart | −2.22 | |
| New Democratic | Ryder Finlay | −3.53 | |
| Green | Thaila Riden | −1.47 | |
| New Blue | Felix Labrosse | −2.30 | |
| Ontario Party | Brandon Wallingford | −0.14 |
Note: The table above reflects percentage changes from the 2022 election, indicating potential shifts in voter sentiment.
Electoral Reform Referendum
In 2007, Ontario voters participated in a referendum on electoral reform. The results within Glengarry—Prescott—Russell showed a clear preference for the existing First Past the Post system.
2007 Referendum Results
The referendum asked voters whether they approved of the proposed Mixed Member Proportional (MMP) system or preferred to retain the current First Past the Post (FPTP) system.
| System | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| First Past the Post | 28,549 | 73.8 | |
| Mixed Member Proportional | 10,108 | 26.2 | |
| Total valid votes | 38,657 | 100.0 | |
Note: The majority of voters in this district favored maintaining the First Past the Post electoral system.
Further Information
External Resources
For detailed electoral maps and official data, please refer to the following resource:
- Official Riding Map for 2018 Election (opens in new tab)
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References
References
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Disclaimer
Important Notice
This content has been generated by an Artificial Intelligence model, drawing upon publicly available data from Wikipedia. While efforts have been made to ensure accuracy and clarity, this information is presented for educational and informational purposes only. It is not intended as a substitute for professional political analysis, electoral advice, or official government documentation.
This is not political advice. The data presented here is based on historical records and may not reflect current political dynamics or future outcomes. Always consult official sources and qualified experts for definitive information regarding electoral districts and political processes.
The creators of this page are not responsible for any errors or omissions, or for any actions taken based on the information provided herein.