Iraq's Fractured Peace
An analytical exploration of the sectarian conflict that reshaped Iraq between 2006 and 2008, detailing its participants, tactics, and profound impact.
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Conflict Overview
Defining the War
The Iraqi civil war was an armed conflict from 2006 to 2008 primarily between various sectarian Shia and Sunni armed groups, including the Islamic State of Iraq and the Mahdi Army. The Iraqi government and American-led coalition forces were also involved.[18][19][20][21][22] The conflict escalated significantly following the bombing of the Al-Askari Shrine in Samarra in February 2006, a pivotal event that triggered widespread sectarian retaliations.[23][24]
Escalation and Impact
By late 2007, the conflict was widely described as having elements of a civil war, with sectarian violence significantly impacting Baghdad, dividing it into enclaves.[26][27] The violence led to massive displacement, with millions of Iraqis becoming refugees or internally displaced persons by 2008.[32][34] The humanitarian situation was dire, placing Iraq among the world's most critical humanitarian crises.[35]
Decline in Violence
A significant reduction in violence was observed by late 2007 and into 2008, attributed to the U.S. troop surge and the organization of Sunni Awakening Council militias.[28][29] This decline was attributed to the surge and the Awakening movement, though underlying insurgent activities persisted.[6]
Key Participants
Iraqi Forces
The conflict involved the Iraqi Security Forces, comprising the Army and Police, numbering hundreds of thousands.[7] Additionally, the "Sons of Iraq" (Awakening Council militias), numbering over 100,000, played a crucial role in stabilizing areas by cooperating with coalition forces.[10]
Coalition Forces
Coalition forces, primarily led by the United States, United Kingdom, and other allied nations, were present in advisory and combat roles. Private Security Contractors also operated alongside these forces, numbering in the thousands.[1][8][9]
Militias and Insurgents
Prominent Shia militias included the Mahdi Army (estimated 60,000 fighters) and the Badr Organization (estimated 20,000 fighters).[11][12] Sunni insurgent groups, notably Al-Qaeda in Iraq (AQI) and its successor, the Islamic State of Iraq, were major belligerents, employing foreign fighters and brutal tactics.[16][37][40]
Conflict Tactics
Bombings and Mortars
Bomb attacks, including vehicle-borne improvised explosive devices (VBIEDs) and mortar attacks, were frequently used against civilian targets like marketplaces and mosques, often resulting in mass casualties. Notable incidents include the November 2006 Sadr City bombings and the February 2007 Baghdad market bombing.[44][45]
Suicide Attacks
Suicide bombings, often carried out by foreign fighters, became a signature tactic of Sunni militants, particularly al-Qaeda extremists. These attacks targeted both civilians and Iraqi security forces, aiming to sow chaos and sectarian discord.[46][47]
Death Squads & Executions
Death squad activities involved kidnapping, torture, and execution-style killings, sometimes publicly displayed for propaganda. These actions, often carried out in revenge for sectarian violence, contributed significantly to civilian deaths, particularly during the 2006-2007 period.[48][49][51]
Attacks on Worship Places
Places of worship, including mosques and churches, were targeted. The bombing of the Al-Askari Shrine in Samarra in February 2006 was a critical catalyst for the escalation of sectarian violence.[52][53][54]
Sectarian Desertions
Desertions from Iraqi security forces occurred due to sectarian divisions, with soldiers refusing to serve in areas dominated by opposing sects. This weakened state capacity and contributed to the overall instability.[56]
Conflict Timeline
Key Periods
The period from 2006 to 2008 marked the height of the Iraqi civil war, characterized by intense sectarian violence and significant displacement.
Violence Trends
Overall attacks decreased significantly from 2007 to 2009, with a reported 85% reduction by August 2009 compared to August 2007.[43]
Humanitarian Crisis
Mass Displacement
The conflict triggered a massive humanitarian crisis. By 2008, the UNHCR estimated that approximately 4.7 million Iraqis were displaced, with 2 million internally displaced and 2.7 million having fled the country.[34]
Refugee Conditions
Many refugees faced dire conditions, often barred from working in host countries and reliant on insufficient aid. The flight of the middle class was particularly notable, with estimates suggesting up to 40% of this demographic had left Iraq.[60][61]
Essential Services
Millions of Iraqis depended on poor-quality water sources, highlighting the breakdown of essential services and the critical state of the nation's infrastructure amidst the ongoing conflict.[35]
Theories of Conflict
Weak State Theory
Iraq's pre-invasion state lacked legitimacy and capacity, exacerbated by sanctions and the collapse of institutions post-2003. This created a security vacuum, a permissive cause for civil war.[64]
Poor Leadership
The legacy of previous wars and the sectarian nature of the ruling elite contributed to poor leadership, exacerbating existing ethnic and religious tensions and fueling the conflict.[66]
Economic Factors
Economic disparities, particularly the loss of employment for Sunnis post-invasion and the lack of clear legislation on oil revenue distribution, played a role in driving recruitment for insurgent groups.[67]
The "Civil War" Label
Defining the Conflict
The application of the term "civil war" to the 2006-2008 period was debated. While some commentators preferred "civil conflict," the situation exhibited key characteristics such as hardening sectarian identities, population displacement, and intense sectarian violence.[64][74]
Public and Official Views
Public opinion polls showed varying perceptions, with a majority of Iraqis not agreeing it was a civil war, while a significant portion of Americans did. U.S. officials and intelligence assessments acknowledged the "civil war" elements, even if not fully encompassing the conflict's complexity.[68][70][74]
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