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Canada's Electoral Tsunami: The 1958 Landslide

An analytical exploration of the historic federal election that dramatically reshaped Canadian politics.

Election Overview 📊 View Results 🗳️

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Election Overview

A Historic Mandate

The 1958 Canadian federal election, held on March 31, 1958, resulted in a monumental victory for Prime Minister John Diefenbaker and the Progressive Conservative Party. This election transformed a minority government into the largest majority in Canadian history at the time, securing 208 seats and 78.5% of the seats in the House of Commons. This outcome remains unparalleled in its percentage of seats and the size of the majority over all opposition parties.

Record Turnout

Voter participation reached an unprecedented 79.4% of eligible electors, marking the highest turnout in Canadian federal election history. This surge in engagement underscored the significant public interest and the pivotal nature of the political landscape at the time.

Key Factors

Diefenbaker's decisive victory was fueled by several critical factors:

  • Liberal Leadership Transition: The Liberal Party had recently elected Lester Pearson as its new leader, but an early misstep asking Diefenbaker to resign without an election created a political vulnerability.
  • Quebec's Political Shift: Historically a Liberal stronghold, Quebec saw a significant realignment. Voters, seeking greater representation in Ottawa, were swayed by the Progressive Conservative alliance, leading to a substantial PC gain in the province.
  • Social Credit Decline: The federal Social Credit Party, once seen as a potential major force, experienced a dramatic collapse, losing all its seats and contributing to the Progressive Conservative's dominance, particularly in Western Canada.

National Results Summary

Vote Distribution

The Progressive Conservative Party secured a commanding majority of the popular vote, demonstrating widespread support across the nation. The Liberal Party, while maintaining a significant portion, saw its support diminish considerably compared to the previous election.

Popular Vote
PC
53.67%
Liberal
33.75%
CCF
9.50%
Social Credit
2.59%
Others
0.84%
Seat Totals
PC
78.49%
Liberal
18.11%
CCF
3.01%
Others
0.37%

Party Performance

The election saw a dramatic shift in parliamentary representation. The Progressive Conservatives achieved a dominant position, while the Liberal Party suffered significant losses. The Co-operative Commonwealth Federation (CCF) and Social Credit Party also saw their seat counts drastically reduced.

Party Leader # of
candidates
1957 Seats Popular vote
Elected % Change # % pp Change
  Progressive Conservative John Diefenbaker 265 111 208 +87.4% 3,908,633 53.66% +14.85
  Liberal Lester B. Pearson 264 104 48 -53.8% 2,432,953 33.40% -7.35
  Co-operative Commonwealth M.J. Coldwell 169 25 8 -68.0% 692,668 9.51% -1.20
  Liberal–Labour 1 1 1 0% 11,956 0.16% -
  Social Credit Solon Low 82 19 - -100% 188,356 2.59% -3.99
  Independent 9 2 - -100% 14,211 0.20% -0.87
  Independent Liberal 10 2 - -100% 12,054 0.17% -1.25
Labor–Progressive Tim Buck 18 - - - 9,769 0.13% +0.02
  Candidats des électeurs Réal Caouette 1 - - - 8,276 0.11% -0.01
  Independent Conservative 5 1 - -100% 2,097 0.03% -0.19
  Socialist 2 * - * 1,113 0.02% *
  Capital familial H-G Grenier 1 * - * 968 0.01% *
  Radical chrétien 1 * - * 687 0.01% *
  Independent SC 1 - - - 361 x -0.04
  Ouvrier canadien 1 * - * 243 x *
Total 831 265 265 - 7,284,467 100.00%  
Sources: Elections Canada, History of Federal Ridings since 1867 (Archived)

Opinion Polling Trends

National Trends

Pre-election polling indicated a strong lead for the Progressive Conservatives, reflecting the political momentum gained by Diefenbaker's government. The data shows a consistent upward trend for the PCs and a decline for the Liberals leading up to the election day.

Evolution of voting intentions at national level
Polling firm Last day of survey Source PC LPC CCF SC Other Undecided ME Sample
Election 1958 March 31, 1958 53.67 33.75 9.50 2.59 0.49 7,284,467
Gallup March 1958 [2] 56 32 7 4 1 13
Gallup January 1958 [3] 50 35 9 6
Gallup November 1957 [3] 50 33 9 7 1
Gallup October 1957 [3] 48 34 10 7 1
Gallup July 1957 [4] 47 35 10 8
Election 1957 June 10, 1957 38.50 40.45 10.59 6.54 3.92

Regional Dynamics

Polling data also highlighted significant regional variations. Quebec showed a shift towards the PCs, while Ontario demonstrated strong Conservative support. Western Canada also saw a notable increase in Progressive Conservative favourability.

Evolution of voting intentions at provincial level (Quebec)
Polling firm Last day of survey Source PC LPC CCF Other ME Sample
Election 1958 March 31, 1958 49.6 45.6 2.3 2.5
Gallup March 1958 [5] 49 45
Gallup January 1958 [3] 42 51 3 4
Gallup November 1957 [3] 43 50 1 6
Gallup July 1957 [4] 40 54
Election 1957 June 10, 1957 30.7 56.8 1.8 10.7

Historical Context

Post-War Landscape

The election occurred during a period of significant post-war development and evolving political alignments in Canada. The Progressive Conservatives, led by John Diefenbaker, had formed a minority government in the previous election of 1957, ending decades of Liberal dominance. The 1958 election was called as a snap election, allowing Diefenbaker to capitalize on his government's popularity and the perceived weaknesses of the opposition.

Key Political Shifts

The election marked a profound shift in Canadian political geography. The Progressive Conservatives achieved unprecedented success, particularly in Quebec, a province that had long favoured the Liberal Party. This electoral realignment demonstrated the effectiveness of Diefenbaker's appeal and the strategic positioning of his party.

Major Political Parties

Progressive Conservatives

Led by Prime Minister John Diefenbaker, the Progressive Conservatives presented themselves as a party of national unity and progress. Their campaign successfully leveraged public confidence and capitalized on the perceived instability within the Liberal Party, resulting in a landslide victory.

Liberal Party

Under the new leadership of Lester B. Pearson, the Liberal Party faced a challenging election. Despite Pearson's international reputation, the party struggled to counter the Conservative momentum and suffered substantial seat losses, marking a low point in their electoral history.

CCF and Social Credit

The Co-operative Commonwealth Federation (CCF) and the Social Credit Party experienced significant declines in support. The CCF saw its seat count reduced, while the Social Credit Party was virtually eliminated from Parliament, highlighting the two-party dominance that emerged from this election.

Provincial Results Breakdown

The Progressive Conservative landslide was evident across most provinces, with notable gains in traditional Liberal strongholds. The following table details the seat distribution and popular vote percentages by province and territory.

Party name BC AB SK MB ON QC NB NS PE NL YK NW Total
  Progressive Conservative Seats: 18 17 16 14 67 50 7 12 4 2 1 - 208
  Vote (%): 49.4 59.9 51.4 56.7 56.4 49.6 54.1 57.0 62.2 45.2 54.5 42.8 53.7
  Liberal Seats: - - - - 14 25 3 - - 5 - 1 48
  Vote (%): 16.1 13.7 19.6 21.6 32.1 45.6 43.4 38.4 37.5 54.4 43.3 57.2 33.4
  Co-operative Commonwealth Seats: 4 - 1 - 3 - - - - -     8
  Vote (%): 24.5 4.4 28.4 19.6 10.5 2.3 1.8 4.5 0.3 0.2     9.5
  Liberal–Labour Seats:         1               1
  Vote (%):         0.5               0.2
  Social Credit Seats:    
  Vote (%): 9.6 21.6 0.4 1.8 0.3 0.6     2.6
  Independent Vote (%):     xx xx 0.1 0.6             0.2
  Independent Liberal Vote (%):           0.6       0.2     0.2
Labor–Progressive Vote (%): 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.4 0.1 0.1             0.1
  C. des électeurs Vote (%):           0.4             0.1
  Independent PC Vote (%):   0.1     0.1               xx
  Socialist Vote (%):         xx xx             xx
  Capital familial Vote (%):           xx             xx
  Radical chrétien Vote (%):           xx             xx
  Independent SC Vote (%):   0.1                     xx

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References

References

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This page was generated by an Artificial Intelligence and is intended for informational and educational purposes only. The content is based on a snapshot of publicly available data from Wikipedia and may not be entirely accurate, complete, or up-to-date.

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