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Unmasking HIV/AIDS

A Global Epidemiological Journey: Exploring the historical trajectory, current prevalence, and societal impact of the human immunodeficiency virus worldwide.

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Understanding the Pandemic

A Persistent Global Challenge

The global pandemic of HIV/AIDS, caused by the Human Immunodeficiency Virus, commenced in 1981 and continues to represent a significant worldwide public health concern. By 2023, the World Health Organization (WHO) reported approximately 40.4 million deaths attributed to HIV/AIDS, with an estimated 39 million individuals globally living with HIV.4 A notable achievement is that 75% of these individuals, or 29.8 million people, are currently receiving antiretroviral treatment (ART).4

Shifting Incidence and Mortality

While the pandemic remains a challenge, there have been encouraging trends in new infections. The global incidence of HIV infection peaked in 1997 at 3.3 million new cases per year. This figure saw a rapid decline to about 2.6 million per year by 2005.7 From 2010 to 2020, HIV incidence continued its downward trajectory, decreasing by 23%, largely driven by significant progress in Eastern and Southern Africa.8 As of 2023, the global rate of new HIV infections stands at approximately 1.3 million per year.9 In 2022, there were about 630,000 deaths from HIV/AIDS.4

Addressing Stigma and Access

A critical aspect of the global response to HIV/AIDS involves confronting the pervasive stigma and discrimination associated with the disease. Infected individuals often face judgment, harassment, and violence, particularly in marginalized communities.29 Organizations like AVERT emphasize that such discrimination can impede access to healthcare services and quality treatment.30 While approximately 81% of people with HIV globally knew their status in 2019, about 7.1 million individuals still lacked access to essential HIV testing services, which are crucial for early detection, treatment, and prevention.31

Origins & Discovery

Zoonotic Beginnings

The human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) is understood to have originated in non-human primates within Central Africa. The transmission of the virus to humans, a process known as zoonotic spillover, is believed to have occurred multiple times during the late 19th or early 20th century.10, 11, 12 Genetic history reconstructions suggest that HIV-1 group M, the specific strain responsible for the vast majority of the global epidemic, may have emerged in Kinshasa, the capital of the Democratic Republic of the Congo, around 1920.13, 14

Acknowledgment and Identification

The acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS) was first formally recognized as a distinct clinical entity in 1981. This marked the beginning of intensive scientific investigation into the mysterious illness. Just two years later, in 1983, HIV was successfully discovered and definitively identified as the causative agent of AIDS, a pivotal moment in understanding the disease.15, 16, 17 This discovery paved the way for diagnostic tests and the development of therapeutic interventions.

Affected Populations

Key Vulnerable Groups

Globally, HIV disproportionately impacts specific "key populations" and their sexual partners. These groups often face heightened risk due to a combination of social, economic, and behavioral factors. They include sex workers and their clients, men who have sex with men (MSM), people who inject drugs, and transgender individuals.18 Understanding these concentrated epidemics is crucial for targeted prevention and intervention strategies.

Gender Disparities in Africa

In Sub-Saharan Africa, a significant gender disparity in new HIV infections persists, with women accounting for 63% of new cases. Young women aged 15 to 24 years are particularly vulnerable, being twice as likely as men in the same age group to be living with HIV.18 This disparity is influenced by a complex interplay of biological, social, and economic factors, including prevalent sexually transmitted infections, certain cultural practices, and economic vulnerabilities that may lead to transactional sex.44, 47

MSM in Western Regions

In Western Europe and North America, men who have sex with men (MSM) constitute a significant proportion of new HIV infections, accounting for almost two-thirds of new cases in these regions.19 This highlights the importance of tailored prevention and testing services for this community. Despite these challenges, access to treatment in these regions is generally high, allowing many people with HIV to lead long and healthy lives.19

Regional Impact

Global Trends in HIV/AIDS

The global HIV/AIDS epidemic has seen varied trends in deaths, incidence, and prevalence over the years. While significant progress has been made in reducing mortality and new infections, the burden remains substantial in many parts of the world.

The table below illustrates key global epidemiological data for HIV/AIDS over several decades:

HIV/AIDS related deaths, HIV Incidence Rate, and HIV Prevalence Rate on a Global Scale
Year Deaths due to HIV/AIDS globally34 HIV Infection Incidence Rate globally35 HIV Infection Prevalence Rate Globally35
1990 336,387 2,100,000 8,500,000
1995 939,400 3,200,000 18,600,000
2000 1,560,000 2,900,000 26,000,000
2005 1,830,000 2,500,000 28,500,000
2010 1,370,000 2,200,000 30,800,000
2015 1,030,000 1,900,000 34,400,000
2021 650,000 1,500,000 38,400,000

Sub-Saharan Africa: A Concentrated Epidemic

Sub-Saharan Africa bears the heaviest burden of the HIV epidemic, accounting for two-thirds of all people living with HIV globally.4 In 2022, the adult HIV prevalence rate in the region was estimated at 6.2%.40 Southern Africa is particularly affected, with adult prevalence rates exceeding 20% in most countries, and reaching over 30% in Eswatini and Botswana.42 Despite this, Eastern and Southern Africa have demonstrated significant resilience and progress in their HIV response, with new infections falling by 38% from 2010 to 2020.8, 43

Challenges persist, including a higher infection rate among women (13 women for every 10 men, and 36 young women for every 10 young men aged 15-24). Factors contributing to transmission include sexually transmitted infections, unsafe blood transfusions, and poor hygiene and nutrition in some areas.44, 45, 46 Economic hardship can also compel vulnerable individuals, particularly young women and girls, into risky behaviors.47

Middle East & North Africa: Unique Challenges

The Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region has the lowest HIV prevalence rate globally, estimated at less than 0.1% among the adult population between 1990 and 2018.56 As of 2020, approximately 230,000 people were living with HIV in MENA.57 However, unlike the global trend, new HIV infections and AIDS-related deaths have continuously increased in this region.59 A significant concern is the low rate of antiretroviral therapy (ART) coverage, which stood at 43% in 2020, considerably lower than the global rate of 62%.57, 60 This low ART uptake contributes to higher rates of mother-to-baby HIV infections (24.7%) compared to other regions.56 Key populations at high risk include injecting drug users, female sex workers, and men who have sex with men.56

Asia & Pacific: Diverse Epidemics

HIV epidemics in South and South-East Asia are diverse, largely concentrated among injecting drug users, men who have sex with men, sex workers, and their sexual partners.62 Migrants are particularly vulnerable, with a significant proportion of infections in Bangladesh and Nepal linked to returnees from India, partly due to human trafficking and fear of accessing health services.62 Despite these challenges, the region has seen increased integration of treatment and prevention programs, leading to a rise in HIV status awareness from 26% to 89%. Thailand has successfully eliminated mother-to-child transmission of HIV and syphilis.65 Needle and syringe exchange programs have also been effective in several countries.66

In East Asia, despite a low national HIV prevalence of 0.1% in adults, the large populations mean substantial numbers of people are infected, particularly in China (390,000 to 1.1 million).67 The spread is primarily through injecting drug use and paid sex.69

The Americas: Progress and Pockets of Concern

The Caribbean region is the second-most affected globally, with AIDS being the leading cause of death among adults aged 15-44. However, it has seen a significant 50% decrease in AIDS-related deaths since 2010.72 Heterosexual intercourse is the primary mode of transmission, accounting for two-thirds of AIDS cases.74

In Central and South America, approximately 1.6 million people are infected with HIV, with a relatively stable prevalence of about 0.4%. ART coverage is high, with 75% of infected individuals receiving treatment.77

The United States has seen a decline in new HIV cases since 1996, with a 47% drop in 1997 compared to the previous year.96 However, significant disparities exist, with higher rates in the South and in large urban centers. Men who have sex with men account for a large proportion of new diagnoses (69% in 2018), and transgender women are disproportionately affected.83, 84, 85, 86, 87 African American communities also face a higher burden, accounting for 48% of the total HIV-positive population despite being 12% of the general population.89 In Canada, approximately 63,100 people were living with HIV in 2016, with efforts focused on achieving UNAIDS 90-90-90 targets by 2030.99, 100

Europe & Oceania: Varied Landscapes

Eastern Europe and Central Asia are experiencing a rapidly growing epidemic, with an estimated 1.8 million people infected in 2021.35 This rise is linked to social and economic factors, increased intravenous drug use, and sex work. Russia, for instance, had over 1.1 million people living with HIV in June 2021.101

In contrast, Western Europe has seen AIDS cases fall to levels not observed since the initial outbreak, largely due to aggressive educational campaigns, blood screening, increased condom use, and the widespread availability of effective antiretroviral therapies.103 The adult prevalence rate in this region is 0.3%.35

Oceania presents a wide range of situations due to its diverse geography and varying levels of development. Papua New Guinea faces one of the most serious epidemics in the region, with HIV cases increasing significantly since 1997.104

Prevention & Treatment

Testing and Early Detection

HIV testing is a fundamental gateway to prevention, treatment, care, and support services. The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) recommends routine HIV testing at least once for individuals aged 13 to 64. Highly accurate tests are available, including antibody tests, antigen/antibody tests, and nucleic acid tests (NATs). Early detection allows individuals to access treatment promptly, which not only improves their health outcomes but also significantly reduces the risk of onward transmission.32

Antiretroviral Therapy (ART)

While there is currently no cure for HIV, antiretroviral therapy (ART) has revolutionized the lives of people living with HIV. ART involves a combination of medications that suppress the virus, allowing individuals to live long and healthy lives and preventing transmission to others. As of the end of 2019, 25.4 million people with HIV (67% globally) were accessing ART.31 The widespread availability and adherence to ART are crucial for controlling the epidemic and improving quality of life. During the COVID-19 pandemic, some countries in South and East Africa adapted by providing larger supplies of ART medication to minimize treatment interruptions.54

Harm Reduction & Education

Prevention efforts extend to harm reduction interventions, particularly for people who inject drugs, to decrease the risk of HIV acquisition. This includes needle and syringe exchange programs. Education plays a vital role in controlling the spread of HIV, especially in regions where access to treatment drugs is limited. Comprehensive sex education and awareness campaigns are essential to promote safer practices and reduce new infections.78, 112

Research & Progress

Advancing Scientific Understanding

Since 2001, extensive research efforts, particularly by institutions like the National Institutes of Health (NIH) in the United States, have significantly advanced the understanding, treatment, and quality of life for individuals affected by HIV. The NIH HIV/AIDS Research Program, coordinated by the Office of AIDS Research (OAR), represents the world's largest public investment in AIDS research. These efforts aim to develop and optimize interventions that reduce the risk of HIV transmission, including those related to drug use and sexual contact.111, 112

Global Initiatives and Impact

International cooperation has been crucial in the fight against HIV/AIDS. In June 2001, the United Nations held a Special General Assembly to intensify global action against the pandemic, labeling it a "global crisis."105 Programs like the U.S. President's Emergency Plan for AIDS Relief (PEPFAR) represent massive commitments to address the disease, providing HIV testing services to millions and supporting life-saving ART.31 Collective global efforts have led to a dramatic 40% drop in HIV acquisition since its peak in 1998.113

Future Directions: Vaccines and Beyond

Despite significant advancements, a cure for HIV/AIDS remains elusive. However, the development of mRNA technology, notably used for COVID-19 vaccines, offers promising new avenues for an HIV vaccine. The primary challenge lies in addressing the vast number of HIV variants that a vaccine would need to target.115 Continued research into novel therapies and prevention strategies is vital to ultimately end the HIV/AIDS pandemic as a public health threat.

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References

References

  1.  P03022017.pdf
  2.  United Nations Special Session on HIV/AIDS. New York, 25รขย€ย“27 June 2001 รขย€ย“ http://www.un.org/ga/aids/conference.html
A full list of references for this article are available at the Epidemiology of HIV/AIDS Wikipedia page

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