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Smallpox: The Eradicated Scourge

A Comprehensive Historical and Scientific Examination of the disease that shaped human history and was ultimately conquered.

Understanding Smallpox 👇 Historical Impact

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Classification

Viral Strains

Smallpox was caused by the Variola virus, belonging to the Orthopoxvirus genus. Two primary strains were identified:

  • Variola Major: The severe, common form with a higher mortality rate (around 30%).
  • Variola Minor (Alastrim): A less common, milder form with a mortality rate typically below 1%.

Additionally, rare, fulminant forms like malignant (flat) and hemorrhagic smallpox presented with severe symptoms and extremely high fatality rates.

Case Fatality Rates

The severity and outcome of smallpox varied significantly based on the viral strain and the patient's vaccination status. The case fatality rate (CFR) for unvaccinated individuals was substantially higher across all disease types compared to vaccinated individuals.

The following table illustrates the case fatality rates and frequency of smallpox by type, comparing unvaccinated and vaccinated individuals, based on historical case studies:

Case Fatality Rate and Frequency of Smallpox by Type
Type of Disease Case Fatality Rate (%) Frequency (%)
Unvaccinated Vaccinated Unvaccinated Vaccinated
Ordinary Discrete 9.3 0.7 42.1 58.4
Ordinary Confluent 62 26.3 22.8 4.6
Ordinary Semiconfluent 37 8.4 23.9 7
Modified 0 0 2.1 25.3
Malignant (Flat) 96.5 66.7 6.7 1.3
Early Hemorrhagic 100 100 0.7 1.4
Late Hemorrhagic 96.8 89.8 1.7 2.0

[31]

Signs and Symptoms

Initial Phase

The disease typically began with a prodromal stage lasting 2-4 days, characterized by symptoms similar to influenza or the common cold. These included high fever (≥38.3°C / 101°F), muscle pain (myalgia), general malaise, headache, and fatigue. Nausea, vomiting, and backache were also common due to involvement of the digestive tract.

Eruptive Phase

Following the initial symptoms, small reddish spots (macules or enanthem) appeared on the mucous membranes of the mouth, tongue, palate, and throat. Within 24-48 hours, these lesions enlarged and ruptured, releasing significant amounts of the virus. Concurrently, a skin rash emerged, typically starting on the face and spreading to the extremities and trunk over 24-36 hours. These macules progressed to papules, then fluid-filled vesicles, and finally opaque, turbid pustules.

Resolution and Scars

By the sixth to tenth day of the rash, pustules matured, became tense, and felt like small beads embedded in the dermis. They then began to dry, forming crusts or scabs. These scabs typically fell off by day 16-20, leaving behind depigmented scars. The characteristic deep, pitted scars, particularly on the face, were a common long-term consequence for survivors.

Severe Forms

Beyond the ordinary type, severe forms included:

  • Malignant (Flat) Smallpox: Lesions remained flat, did not fill with fluid, and were often buried in the skin. This form was accompanied by severe prodromal symptoms and viremia, with a high fatality rate.
  • Hemorrhagic Smallpox: Characterized by extensive bleeding into the skin, mucous membranes, and internal organs. This included early hemorrhagic (purpura variolosa) and late hemorrhagic forms, both nearly universally fatal.

Modified smallpox occurred in previously vaccinated individuals, presenting with fewer, faster-evolving, and more superficial lesions, rarely proving fatal.

Cause and Virology

The Variola Virus

Smallpox was caused by the Variola virus, a large, brick-shaped virus belonging to the Poxviridae family and the Orthopoxvirus genus. Its genome is a linear double-stranded DNA molecule approximately 186 kilobase pairs in length, encoding around 200 genes. Poxviruses uniquely replicate within the host cell's cytoplasm, utilizing their own viral RNA polymerase.

Variola virus infects only humans naturally, distinguishing it from related orthopoxviruses like vaccinia, cowpox, and monkeypox, which can infect both humans and animals.

Evolutionary Origins

The precise origin of smallpox remains debated, with estimates suggesting it evolved from a rodent virus between 68,000 and 16,000 years ago. Molecular clock analyses place the divergence of Variola major strains from ancestral strains between 400 and 1,600 years ago, originating likely in Asia. Its emergence as a distinct human disease is thought to be relatively recent, possibly around 3,000-4,000 years ago.

Gene Expression and Replication

Viral gene expression occurs entirely in the cytoplasm. After entry, viral mRNA synthesis begins rapidly. Early genes, transcribed by virion-packaged enzymes, encode factors for DNA replication and subsequent transcription. DNA replication itself occurs in the cytoplasm, a characteristic feature of poxviruses. Terminal regions of the genome, containing genes that modulate the host immune system, contribute to virulence variability among orthopoxviruses.

Transmission Dynamics

Primary Routes

Smallpox was highly contagious, primarily spreading through prolonged face-to-face contact with an infected person via respiratory droplets expelled from the mouth, nose, or pharynx. The virus was also present in lesions on the skin and mucous membranes.

Transmission occurred throughout the illness, peaking during the first week of the rash when lesions were most numerous. Infectivity waned as scabs formed but persisted until the last scab fell off.

Secondary Routes and Factors

Transmission via contaminated objects (fomites), such as bedding or clothing, was considered rare. Airborne transmission in enclosed spaces like buildings or vehicles was also possible but less common. Smallpox was not known to be transmitted by insects or animals, and there was no asymptomatic carrier state.

Seasonality influenced transmission in temperate regions, with higher rates in winter and spring, while tropical areas saw year-round prevalence. Immunity from vaccination declined over time, typically within thirty years.

Biological Warfare Concerns

Historically, smallpox was weaponized. During Pontiac's War in 1763, British forces intentionally distributed smallpox-infected blankets to Native American tribes. Similar concerns have arisen regarding its potential use as a biological weapon in modern times, fueling debates about virus retention and synthetic biology.

Diagnosis and Differentiation

Clinical Diagnosis

The clinical definition of smallpox involved an acute onset of fever (≥38.3°C / 101°F) followed by a characteristic rash. The rash progressed through distinct stages: macules, papules, vesicles, and finally pustules, all typically in the same stage of development within a given patient. The absence of other apparent causes was crucial for diagnosis.

Laboratory Confirmation

Definitive diagnosis relied on laboratory confirmation. Methods included electron microscopy of pustular fluid or scabs, which revealed the characteristic brick-shaped virions of orthopoxviruses. Growing the virus on the chorioallantoic membrane of a chicken embryo and examining the resulting lesions was another key technique. Polymerase chain reaction (PCR) and restriction fragment length polymorphism (RFLP) analysis were used for strain characterization.

Distinguishing from Chickenpox

In the post-eradication era, differentiating smallpox from chickenpox became critical. Key distinctions included:

  • Rash Distribution: Smallpox rash was typically denser on the face and extremities, including palms and soles, whereas chickenpox predominantly affected the torso.
  • Lesion Uniformity: Smallpox lesions generally appeared in the same stage of development simultaneously, unlike chickenpox, where lesions varied in size and stage due to asynchronous eruption.

Laboratory methods could also reliably distinguish between the two viral infections.

Prevention Strategies

Variolation and Vaccination

Historically, variolation (inoculation with material from smallpox lesions) was practiced in Asia and Africa, offering some protection but carrying risks of severe disease and transmission. The modern smallpox vaccine, developed by Edward Jenner in 1796 using cowpox material, provided a safer and highly effective means of prevention. This vaccine, later refined using vaccinia virus, became the cornerstone of global eradication efforts.

Vaccine Efficacy and Administration

The vaccinia virus vaccine was highly effective, providing protection to approximately 95% of recipients. Immunity typically lasted 3-5 years and could be boosted by revaccination. The vaccine was administered via a bifurcated needle, creating a characteristic lesion that healed into a scar. While generally safe, the vaccine carried risks of side effects, including potentially severe or life-threatening reactions in a small percentage of individuals.

Discontinuation of Routine Vaccination

As smallpox was effectively eradicated and the risks associated with vaccination outweighed the benefits for the general population, routine childhood vaccination was discontinued in the US in 1972 and gradually phased out globally by the early 1970s. Vaccination is now primarily recommended for laboratory personnel with potential exposure risks.

Modern vaccines like ACAM2000, containing live vaccinia virus, are maintained in strategic stockpiles for biodefense purposes and are also effective against related viruses like mpox.

Treatment and Management

Post-Exposure Vaccination

Vaccination administered within three days of exposure could prevent smallpox or significantly lessen its severity. Vaccination between four and seven days post-exposure offered some protection or modified the disease's course.

Supportive Care

For individuals who developed smallpox, treatment was primarily supportive. This included meticulous wound care, infection control measures, fluid therapy to manage dehydration, and respiratory support (e.g., ventilation) for severe cases. Management of severe forms often resembled that for extensive burns or shock, addressing fluid and electrolyte balance.

Antiviral Therapies

Antiviral medications have been developed since the last major smallpox epidemics. Cidofovir showed potential but carried risks of kidney toxicity. Tecovirimat (TPOXX) was approved by the FDA in 2018 as the first specific smallpox treatment, though concerns about resistance have emerged. Brincidofovir received FDA approval in 2021 for treating smallpox.

Prognosis and Complications

Mortality Rates

Variola major had a significant mortality rate, averaging around 30%, with higher rates in infants (40-50%). The malignant and hemorrhagic forms were almost invariably fatal (90-100%). Variola minor, conversely, had a mortality rate of 1% or less. Death typically occurred between days 10-16 for ordinary smallpox, often due to factors like viremia, immune response dysregulation, or organ failure.

Long-Term Sequelae

Survivors frequently experienced severe and permanent complications. These included:

  • Scarring: Deep, pitted scars (pockmarks) were common, particularly on the face (affecting 65-80% of survivors).
  • Blindness: Eye complications, such as conjunctivitis, keratitis, corneal ulcers, and iritis, occurred in about 2% of cases, leading to blindness in 35-40% of affected eyes.
  • Skeletal Damage: In children, viral spread to joints and bones could cause osteomyelitis variolosa, leading to deformities, ankylosis, and limb abnormalities.

Historical Trajectory

Ancient Origins and Spread

Credible evidence suggests smallpox existed as early as 1500 BCE in Egypt and was described in ancient India and China. It spread globally via trade routes, significantly impacting populations, particularly in the Americas following European contact, where indigenous peoples lacked immunity, leading to devastating epidemics and contributing to societal collapse.

By the 18th century, smallpox was endemic in Europe, causing an estimated 400,000 deaths annually and contributing to widespread blindness.

Global Impact

Smallpox was a major cause of death and disfigurement worldwide for centuries, killing hundreds of millions, including numerous monarchs. Its introduction to new populations, like Native Americans and Aboriginal Australians, often resulted in catastrophic mortality rates (up to 90% in some Native American outbreaks).

The disease was deeply embedded in cultures, with deities like Sopona (Yoruba) and Shitala (Hindu) dedicated to it.

Early Interventions

Early attempts at prevention included variolation, a practice documented in China by the 10th century and popularized in Europe by Lady Mary Wortley Montagu in the early 18th century. While effective, variolation carried significant risks. The development of the smallpox vaccine by Edward Jenner in 1796 marked a pivotal advancement, offering a safer and more effective method of immunization.

Global Eradication

The WHO Initiative

The World Health Organization (WHO) launched a coordinated global campaign to eradicate smallpox in 1959, intensifying efforts in 1967 under the leadership of Donald Henderson. The strategy relied on robust disease surveillance to identify outbreaks and rapid containment through "ring vaccination"—immunizing individuals in the immediate vicinity of confirmed cases.

Success Factors

Key factors contributing to eradication included the availability of an effective vaccine, the fact that humans are the sole reservoir for the virus, the absence of asymptomatic carriers, and improved surveillance and containment strategies. International cooperation and significant vaccine donations, particularly from the Soviet Union and the United States, were crucial.

The Final Cases

The last naturally occurring case of the more severe Variola major was diagnosed in Rahima Banu in Bangladesh in October 1975. The final indigenous case globally, Variola minor, was Ali Maow Maalin in Somalia in October 1977. The last fatal case occurred in 1978 in the UK, resulting from a laboratory accident. Smallpox was officially certified as eradicated by the WHO in 1980, marking a monumental achievement in public health.

Ongoing Research and Retention

Remaining Samples

Two live samples of Variola major virus are retained under strict international control in high-security laboratories in the United States (CDC) and Russia (Vector Institute). Research proposals involving these samples require approval from the WHO and World Health Assembly.

Retention Debate

The retention of these samples is a subject of ongoing debate. Proponents argue they are essential for developing new vaccines, antiviral drugs, and diagnostic tests. Critics, including many veterans of the eradication program, contend that the risks associated with retention outweigh potential benefits, especially given the possibility of synthetic virus creation using publicly available genomic data.

Synthetic Biology Concerns

Advances in synthetic biology have demonstrated the feasibility of recreating viruses like horsepox and potentially variola virus from scratch using publicly available sequence data. This raises significant concerns about biosecurity and the potential for misuse, regardless of whether official samples are destroyed.

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References

References

  1.  See a fuller discussion of their views and those of Dr. G. E. Ford in "The History Wars: Smallpox Debates".
A full list of references for this article are available at the Smallpox Wikipedia page

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